Sunday notes

The death toll from cyclone Sidr in Bangladesh keeps rising, and will continue to do so. A nationwide power outage and roads blocked by fallen trees and other debris means that it will be quite some time before the final figure is known.

Three tropical cyclones around in the southern oceans today. They are all weak affairs and too far away from shore to constitute a threat. Guba is meandering offshore, 300 miles north of Cairns, Australia. Lee (now Ariel) is in the middle of nowhere, about to be torn apart by yet-to-be-named Bongwe to its northwest. Bongwe lies east of the Indian Ocean island of Diego Garcia, and has a distant possibility of constituting a threat to Mauritius or La Reunion. Those who have been with me through this year may remember cyclone Gamede back in February, which caused a lot of hassle in those islands.

The Atlantic hurricane season appears to have come to a close; there is only 2 weeks left of it, and atmospheric conditions are not conducive to cyclone formation. I don't expect cyclones to hit Florida when the overnight low there is -5C / 25F.

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