Thursday, 27 September 2007

Hurricane update - 27 September (II)

Things are moving fast, in spite of Lorenzo's snailpace progression into Mexico. The NHC is now expecting this system to become a hurricane before landfall. Bearing in mind the vagaries of Mother Nature (and this is one of her top ten tantrums), we could see a VERY nasty surprise north of Palma Sola on the Gulf coast. The NHC forgot to include the rainfall warning, so I sent off an urgent email to them. I don't normally get a reply, so I hope they pick it up.

From bulletin 600 on the Tropical Cyclones blog:

HAZARD SUMMARY
  • Maximum sustained winds are 70 mph, which will increase.
  • Rainfall totals over the Mexican state of Veracruz will be between 5 and 10 inches, with localised totals of 15 inches. Please note that the rainfall warning is carried through from previous advisories but is NOT present in the current NHC Public Advisory #10. Have advised NHC.
  • Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels (beware of the current equinoctial springtides!) can be expected with dangerous battering waves near and to the north of the point of landfall.
Hurricane warning
A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are likely within 24 hours and preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

Mexico: Palma Sola to Cabo Rojo

Tropical storm warning
A tropical storm warning means that tropical storm conditions are likely within 24 hours

Mexico: Palma Sola to Vera Cruz

Tropical storm watch
A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within 36 hours

Mexico: Cabo Rojo to La Cruz
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4 comments:

  1. Anonymous27 September 2007 at 22:23

    Very serious.

    Glad you caught the overlook of a rainfall warning and sent word.  They may get hundreds of e-mails pointing that out, and notice it themselves, OR just your e-mail and go, dag, how'd that drop off.  Better safe than sorry.

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  2. Anonymous27 September 2007 at 22:43

    I hope they have their hatches battened down.  We're now getting some wind out of the south, a sure indication of a change in the weather.  I'm heading out to paint the door on my shed.  It looks so awful and I want to get it painted before the rains come.  Linda in Washington state  

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  3. Anonymous27 September 2007 at 22:54

    Let's hope they become aware of this sooner rather than later Guido.  Well done you for trying to make them aware of it.
    i wish you every success and I hope they do see it for the sake of those in its way.

    Jeanie

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  4. Anonymous27 September 2007 at 23:30

    I am sure you know the history of "Halsey's Typhoon" that took so many lives in wartime.  My sister just read the book by that name and reviewed it on our family site.  I had never heard of it before.  She was trying to explain the difference between a typhoon and a hurricane.  My son Dan said his ship weathered a few bad storms when he was in the navy. Gerry

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